Day of Judgment

1st 203 Agnese Sanctis @ A Certain Magical Index
2nd 186 Migiwa Kazuha @ Yosuga No Sora
3rd 58 Fuyukawa Kurusu @ Soft Tennis

1st 222 Haruna @ Kore Wa Zombie Desu Ka?
2nd 138 Amatsume Akira @ Yosuga No Sora
3rd 82 Lala Satalin Deviluke @ To Love Ru

1st 254 Shirai Kuroko @ A Certain Magical Index
2nd 131 Shimada Hazuki @ Baka To Test To Shoukanjuu
3rd 88 Harukaze Asuna @ Soft Tennis

Before I begin, I would like to apologize for the absence of the daily Saimoe Reporter motif. frustra is still nowhere to be seen, but I’m sure he’ll do them up once he returns. ┬áSR added. -frustra

Haruna secures the sole victory for KoreZom in R1…

Good wins for Haruna and Kuroko, with the teleporter now having the best vote % among the Raildex girls in Round 1. Kazuha did better than I expected, but it still wasn’t enough to deny Agnese from grabbing a Round Two spot.

On to the next day! One match that has been eagerly anticipated since the beginning of the main round. Kuroneko of Oreimo vs Sherlock of Milky Holmes. Kuroneko’s one of the hot favorites to win Block H and perhaps even the whole tourney itself, but first she faces a difficult obstacle in the form of Sherlock. First, let’s take a look at some statistics:

Sherlock 337 votes – 33.87% of the votes – 3rd in Group 12
Kuroneko 358 votes – 55.59% of the votes – 1st in Group 11

Best 3 Milky Holmes – 870 votes – average vote % of 40.09%
Best 3 Oreimo – 1037 votes – average vote % of 47.18%

Round 1
Best 3 Milky Holmes – 624 votes – average vote % of 50.30%
Best 3 Oreimo – 825 votes – average vote % of 46.77%

While Kuroneko has definitely in perhaps one of the weakest prelims groups, the fact that she was able to command such a high vote count on an uneventful day shows the amount of raw power she has. In terms of faction power, it’s obvious that top Oreimo characters are able to command more votes than that of Milky Holmes. While the Best 3 Milky Holmes performers has a higher average vote % in Round 1, they did face far easier opponents than their Oreimo counterparts.

tl;dr Stats favor Kuroneko

Of Group H rivals, Houki and Aria supporters might want to take action as today’s match-up represents one of the best chances to eliminate Kuroneko. IS has been one of the best performing series in R1, and they probably had a hand in the events that took place in Block F. Will they be active today? They might want to be careful though, as Houki’s Round 2 match falls on the same day as Kirino’s, and Houki’s opponent, Kanon, is no push-over…

So in the end, I guess I’ll go for a Kuroneko win. This match certainly has the vibes of the Hinagiku-Mafuyu match last year – but perhaps the difference in this case is the fact that Kuroneko and Sherlock are both new faces.

Picks: Houki, Taeko
Prediction: Houki, Ikaros, Kuroneko


5 thoughts on “Day of Judgment

  1. Shmion September 17, 2011 / 3:13 pm

    3rd combo-win for RailDex and 48th combo-win overall (about 182 chances of combo-voting).

    All series with a combo-win:
    1.) 5: Hayate The Combat Butler (2007-2009)
    5: Saki (2009-2010)
    3.) 3: Rozen Maiden (2005-2006)
    3: Magical Girl Lyrical Nanoha (2007)
    3: A Certain Magical Index (2010-2011)
    6.) 2: My Hime (2005)
    2: Best Student Council (2005)
    2: Mai Otome (2006)
    2: Clannad (2008-2009)
    2: K-On! (2009)
    2: Hidamari Sketch (2010-2011)
    12.) and 17 with 1 combo-win:
    Azumanga Daioh (2002/04/11) -first combo-win-
    Hanaukyo Maids (2002/05/01)
    Battle Athletes (2002/05/26)
    Figure 17 (2002/07/18)
    Stratos 4 (2003/06/16)
    Kaleido Star (2004/09/02)
    Maria Watches Over Us (2004/09/03)
    Ashita No Nadja (2004/09/18)
    Negima (2005/08/29)
    The Melancholy Of Haruhi Suzumiya (2006/08/26)
    Otome Wa Boku Ni Koishiteru (2007/08/30)
    Kanon (2007/09/08)
    When They Cry (2007/09/11)
    Minami-ke (2008/08/30)
    Lucky Star (2008/09/27)
    Toradora! (2009/09/26)
    Angel Beats! (2010/08/26)

    • LuniazKun September 17, 2011 / 4:42 pm

      Ah that’s interesting. I wonder how many of the other 134 combos end up as total failures.

      • Shmion September 17, 2011 / 5:35 pm

        About 62 combos without any win.
        – about 72 combos with 1 win
        – 47 combos with 2 wins
        – 1 combo with 3 wins (Maria Watches Over Us;

      • LuniazKun September 17, 2011 / 6:49 pm

        Cool, thanks!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s