Good Charlotte

manga saimoe, mtg, previews, results

Charlotte Dunois continued Infinite Stratos’ winning ways by overcoming a last-hour push by by Denpa Onna to Seishun Otoko’s Touwa Erio in the highly-anticipated matchup between two heralded Anime Saimoe Tournament 2011newcomers. Denpa Onna suffered two casualties in this round as Touwa Meme also took an early exit.

To Aru Kagaku no Railgun’s Uiharu Kazari found herself in a thriller for the second straight year, but this time in the winning side, prevailing over Jewelpet’s Sakura Akari by just two votes. Mercelida Ygvar (Astarotte no Omocha) was the third placer in the match.

Yukikaze Panettone (Dog Days), also survived with a nailbiting three-vote win over Onii-chan no Koto’s Kondou Mayuka, ending the latter series’ run for Round One perfection. Msyu (C) also lost to Yukikaze.

***

E01
1 381 Uiharu Kazari @ Raildex
2 379 Sakura Akari @ Jewelpet Tinkle
3 54 Mercelída Ygvar I @ Astarotte no Omocha!
E05
1 404 Charlotte Dunois (Charles) @ Infinite Stratos
2 373 Touwa Erio @ Denpa Onna to Seishun Otoko
3 40 Touwa Meme @ Denpa Onna to Seishun Otoko
E09
1 300 Yukikaze Panettone @ Dog Days
2 297 Kondou Mayuka @ Onii-chan no Koto
3 114 Msyu @ C

***

Now that’s an exciting way to start this powerful block – two nailbiters, and even the Char-Erio tiff is hotly-contested.

Char (and Infi in general) proved the doubters wrong with this great win which might go a long way for turning their tournament around. It would be certainly tough to win this block, but you can only go one step at a time, and undoubtedly this is an excellent step. Char might be living up to to the preseason hype after all.

As for Denpa Onna, this is tough loss. They were rolling with Maekawa and Ryuuko pulling off great wins, but Erio (and Meme’s) loss will sting for a while. I consider these two capable of winning a regular round one match easily, but taking on Char (in a split, even) ended up too much to ask.

I’m glad I stuck with one of my top tier characters to pull off this win and she did deliver in the end.

This match apparently had an equal number of fakes, but Char’s fast start and holding on to it proved to be the key factor in this match. (Or you could also say if not for the split Erio would’ve won, but that we will never know…)

Uiharu-Akari ended up a thriller, but this time, it was in Uiharu’s favor, escaping another heartbreak from year’s past. I was thinking of gambling with Akari, before the match started but in the end stuck with the safe bet. That Akari rush in the end was really impressive, but too bad for Jewelpet fans, it didn’t pan out in the end. I’m speculating that the FEW foreign voters might have even turned the tide for Uiharu.

Same with Yukikaze. It’s safe to speculate Dog Days won thanks to foreign votes, and I suspect that is the difference. And Yuki’s win consequently ended Onii-chan no Koto’s attempt for perfection in Round One. A back and forth match the whole time.

And with that, I’m 3-0 for both picks (18-33) and predictions (38-13) it doesn’t happen very often. Sure glad they do though in the crucial time like this.

Now, for Day Two of this Block:

E02
Group 9 8th 153 20.35% Mizushiro Kanon @ Jewelpet Sunshine
Group 6 3rd 327 41.24% Saten Ruiko @ To Aru Kagaku no Railgun OVA / To Aru Majutsu no Index II
Group 2 3rd 239 42.60% Golden Darkness (Yami) @ Motto To Love-Ru

>Time for Saten to rack up a win. Yami’s numbers are skewed because lolgrouptwo, so Saten is still the obvious pick to win here. Once again, >TLR’s luck.

Trickier than it should be but I am still expecting a textbook win for Saten, as Raildex’s main guns continue to roll.

E06
Group 4 14th 116 15.61% Minette @ Shukufuku no Campanella
Group 10 10th 179 21.70% Mitsuki Sohara @ Sora no Otoshimono series
Group 5 23th 69 8.16% Nino @ Arakawa Under the Bridge x Bridge

>Underwhelming match that gives Sohara win. Yay, free wins.

Sohara really got lucky here, I think. At least for one round. Should she win this she’s gonna be in the wrong end of the three-way against Char and Yui/Minami anyway. There probably will be some resistance from either two, but not enough

E10
Group 3 8th 189 24.05% Saori Bajeena (Makishima Saori) @ Ore no Imouto ga Konnani Kawaii Wake ga Nai
Group 11 9th 134 20.81% Hasegawa Hirano @ Tantei Opera Milky Holmes
Group 12 24th 59 9.28% Keikain Yura @ Nurarihyon no Mago

>The battle for bus’ing priveleges in the expected Azusa-Ohana matchup. Obviously, Saori gets this.

Ditto. Hirano has a shot, but, not counting on her to upset Saori.

So, straightforward matches for today, I’m not expecting anything shocking for this one.

Predictions: Saten, Sohara, Saori
Picks: Saten, Ninon, Saori

Manga Saimoe, Prelim Two, Group Eight Results

Manga Saimoe went again as expected, with last year’s semifinalist leading the Saki charge along with Koromo, and that was more than enough to hold off Kirino’s attempt to win this group.

Group Nine has two first place finishers from to strong series going at it: Mihoko vs. Hinaichigo. There’s also Medaka, Chika (Genshiken), Mayuko (Ushio to Tora) and Mikan+Yami, but in the end I think Saki’s gonna do it AST style by winning yet another prelim group. So, Mihoko it is.

===LUN HIJACK===
Wow, that was the perhaps the most exciting day in this year’s tournament. Charlotte apparently had a substantial 60+ vote lead over Erio in the opening hour, sparking some discussion on whether it was early rush or a fake-voting strategy being employed Erio supporters. It turned to be more of the former, and the early rush was perhaps the crucial point in Char’s victory as Erio’s final rush wasn’t enough for her to make up the numbers.

The winning margin was even closer in the other two matches, Uiharu surviving a late scare by Akari to proceed to the next round, while Yukikaze had to engage in a tussle towards the final hours of the match to seize the win from Ochinko’s Mayuka, preventing Ochinko from sealing three out of three wins in the first round.

So moving on! A match between Saten and Konjiki no Yami – the former has powerful Raildex backing, but will strategic voting take place today? Yes, if Saten makes it, there will be a split between her and Uiharu in the second round, but it’s likely that the latter will be sacrifice. Sayaka fans would be keen to avoid Saten if possible, but the other contenders in Block E might see Sayaka as the greater threat instead, and would root for Saten instead. So yeah, two possibilites nullifying each other, so going for Saten win here.

Minette to take on Sohara in the other match-up. Sohara isn’t the strongest SoraOto character around, but SoraOto’s series strength is greater than Shukufuku. And she did decently against low-popularity characters last year so I expect the karate-chop girl to go through.

The other match sees Saori up against Hirano. Saori didn’t fare that well in the prelims, even when assisted by Ayase, but Hirano finished 40 votes behind Kanako of Oreimo in her prelim group. Hirano isn’t the most popular MH girl, so I guess Oreimo support should carry Saori through.

Picks: Konjiki No Yami, Nino, Yura
Prediction: Saten, Sohara, Saori

P.S If you hadn’t noticed by now, I’m updating the stats sheet every 2-3 days. Also if you’re into in numbers, I’ll be tweeting interesting Saimoe-related stats every now and then.

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