Part four is here, just in time before the group 1 prelim results roll out. I’ll try to make this quick and easy
Shana – Third round at best. The odds of pulling off a Louise is very low. Still, one cannot estimate one of the most succesful characters in moe tournament history. This is Shana’s fourth appearance in Saimoe, finishing at the semifinals, sweet sixteen, and top thirty two, consecutively in her previous appearances. But it feels like Shana’s time is up, and there are stronger, and fresher characters on the field. The group 15 prelim encounter with Haruhi, Yui and Yuri should tell a lot about her strength at the moment.
Seitokai no Ichizon – no doubt about it, this is one of the dark horses for this year. While the show is positioned poorly due to the fact that it aired a long while ago, Seitokai’s popularity is reflected on the excellent sales of the discs and the light novels. It was also a big hit in 2ch, but all these questions on the power of SeiZon in Saimoe will be quickly answered in a few days – Aka-chan is up against the Saimoe pillars of this year – K-On, Working!! and Bakemonogatari, and later up in Group 4, the Shiina sisters go up Ritsu, and GA and Hidamari flagships Noda and Kisaragi, Yuno and Miyako, respectively. As of now, a bold bet: one of the Seitokai girls will reach the quarterfinals.
Suzumiya Haruhi – this one is really up in the air. Could the well-received Disappearance make the fans forget about the Endless Eight fiasco? That’s one of the storylines for Haruhi and Yuki. Last year, in their “-chan” versions, they disappointed, perhaps still reeling from the trolltastic marketing methods. But now, there are no excuses. Haruhi and Yuki – are they still the same as their 2006 counterparts, or just a shell of their former selves, fading away from Saimoe relevancy just like others before them? I’m going to go in the middle ground and predict that Yuki will end up in the Block Finals, no more, no less.
Shugo Chara – Only Amu stands out in Saimoe relevancy when it comes to Shugo Chara, and I think this year that’s even stretching it. This year’s competition is tighter than ever, which makes it unlikely for Amu to match last year’s sweet sixteen berth. Therefore, a quick 2nd round exit seems likely for the Shugo Chara contingent.
Sora no Otoshimono – It would be a pleasure to see this show succeed in Saimoe. I believe that Ikaros and Nymph are capable of winning a round or two, but that’s about it. The show suffers from the “summer syndrome” and simply the fact that there are other stronger groups out there.
Sora no Woto – Anime no Chikara’s first project was widely popular in 2ch during the the winter season, but somehow it didn’t pan out in disc sales. Like Hanamaru, the show is a bit of a wildcard, but I don’t think Kanata and the rest of the platoon will make noise in the tournament to turn everyone’s attention.
Sora no Manimani – the third “Sora” show, and like the former two, this too, will have difficulty soaring to the Saimoe skies.
Seikon no Qwaser – it will get Qwashed.
Spice and Wolf – Horo is good, but not just good enough, despite triumphing in Korean Best Moe two years ago.
Senjou no Valkyria – Alicia will have a battle of her life trying to stay alive in the main draw.
Sasameki Koto – a whisper – that’s how much of an impact this show will have in Saimoe. don’t get me wrong though, Murasame is awesome.
Sacred Blacksmith – [insert katana joke here]
Sayonara Zetsubou Sensei – despair indeed. Will someone actually get out of the first round this time?
Four down, one more to go. Also, group 1 round up and group 2 preview in a little while.